Explore the data

Welcome to the Climate Scenario Tool. With this tool, you can select specific regions, commodities, or market variables and see their trajectories under the five climate scenarios.

For a full screen view, please click the icon on the lower right below the tool.

The data includes outputs for 18 regions and 23 commodities:


ANZ = Australia & New Zealand, BRA = Brazil, CAN = Canada, CHA = Greater China, DEA = Japan & Korea, EUR = European Union & United Kingdom, IND = India, MEA = Middle East & Northern Africa, NEU = Other Europe, excluding EU & UK, REF = Former Soviet Union (excluding Russia), RUS = Russia, SAF = Southern Africa, SAS = South Asia, SCO = Latin America’s Southern Cone, SEA = South East Asia, TAF = Tropical Africa, TLA = Tropical Latin America, USA = United States


Crops: Maize, Rice, Temperate Cereals, Tropical Cereals, Cotton Seed, Groundnuts, Oilpalms, Other Oil Crops including Rapeseed, Soybean, Sunflower, Sugar Beet, Sugar Cane, Tropical Roots, Fruits Vegetables and Nuts, Potatoes, Pulses

Animal products: Eggs, Dairy, Pork, Poultry, Beef, Sheep, and Goat

Forest products: Timber and Pulpwood

Business Variables1

  • Prices (% change from 2020)
  • Production (Mt DM/yr) and Production Share (% global production)
  • Yield Growth (% change from 2020)
  • Market Size (% change from 2020)

1  We focus on regions with approximately 5% share of global production because our model cannot provide robust estimates for very small markets.

Mt = Mega tonnes
t DM = Tonnes of dry matter
Mha = Million hectare

Land use

  • Forest (Mha)
  • Cropland (Mha)
  • Pastures and rangeland (Mha)
  • Urban area (Mha)
  • Other land (Mha)

Environmental variables2

  • CO2 (Mt CO2e/yr)
  • CH2 (Mt CO2e/yr)
  • N2O (Mt CO2e/yr)
  • All GHG (Mt CO2e/yr)
  • Avoided Deforestation (Mt CO2e/yr since 2020)
  • Forest Restoration (Mt CO2e/yr since 2020)
  • Total forest-based CO2 mitigation potential (Mt CO2e/yr since 2020)

2  Includes all land use emissions, including from agriculture, land conversion, and deforestation.

This tool is funded by the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation and the Royal Norwegian Ministry of Climate and Environment.